On September 17, 2007, Capital Flow Watch called the top of the Buyback Bubble, issuing a warning that stock prices might be in for a sharp fall. Unfortunately, that comment turned out to be correct. The outlook considered two simple facts: Stock prices are supported by equity buybacks, which, in turn, now […]

It is always somewhat foolish to attempt to call the top of a bull market or the precise moment when a speculative bubble pops, but sometimes its better to be foolish than sorry. During the ides of July 2007, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average was gently massaging 14,000, signs appeared that air was finally beginning […]

The Federal Reserve Board does not make a practice of announcing when the stock market is in the midst of a speculative bubble. It officially notes deviant market behavior only well after the event, when it is too late for investors. Most shareholders will not realize they are now in hazardous times — this […]