Trade Deficit Continues to Support Bond Prices: January 2006
Posted By John Schroy On 23rd March 2006 @ 16:05 In Treasuries, Open Market, Agencies, Mortgages, Municipals, Corporate Bonds, Foreign Investors | Comments Disabled
According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, “total January exports of $114.4 billion and imports of $182.9 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $68.5 billion. Total 2005 exports of $1,272.2 billion and imports of $1,995.8 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $723.6 billion.”
The January trade deficit, annualized, represents a 13% increase over the trade deficit of 2005.
Since the trade deficit increased 18.3% in 2004 and 15.1% in 2005, the current rate of increase seems to indicate slower growth in the trade imbalance.
Nevertheless, the excess of imports over exports means that cash is flowing into the U.S. capital market from abroad, which should continue to prop up long bond prices.
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